ACE

Tag: Power

  • Pros and Cons of S.B. 3732: The Artificial Intelligence Environmental Impacts Act

    Pros and Cons of S.B. 3732: The Artificial Intelligence Environmental Impacts Act

    Introduction

    The rise in the prevalence of artificial intelligence (AI) has had significant impacts on the environment. This includes the electricity required to power the technology, the release of hundreds of tons of carbon emissions, and the depletion of freshwater resources for data center cooling. For example, AI data centers in the U.S. use about 7,100 liters of water per megawatt-hour of energy they consume. 

    Demand for energy to power AI is rising. One study predicts that AI data centers will increase from about 3% of the US’s energy usage in 2023 to about 8% in 2030. However, there is also a potential for AI to have positive impacts on the environment. AI is a powerful tool in promoting energy transitions, with a 1% increase in AI development corresponding to a 0.0025% increase in energy transition, a 0.0018% decrease in ecological footprint, and a 0.0013% decrease in carbon emissions. Still, the scientific community and general public lack knowledge about the true environmental implications of AI. Senate Bill 3732, or the Artificial Intelligence Environmental Impacts Act of 2024, aims to fill this knowledge gap. 

    The Bill

    The Artificial Intelligence Environmental Impacts Act was introduced in February 2024 by Senator Ed Markey (D-MA). A House companion bill, H.R. 7197, was introduced simultaneously by Representative Anna Eshoo (D-CA). The bill has four main clauses that instruct the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), The National Institute of Standards and Technology, the Secretary of Energy, and the Office of Science and Technology Policy to:

    1. Initiate a study on the environmental impacts of AI
    2. Convene a consortium of intellectuals and stakeholders to create recommendations on how to address the environmental impacts of AI
    3. Create a system for the voluntary reporting of the environmental impacts of AI
    4. Report to Congress the findings of the consortium, describe the system of voluntary reporting and make recommendations for legislative and administrative action

    This bill seeks to fill the gaps in existing research by commissioning comprehensive studies of both the negative and potential positive environmental impacts of artificial intelligence. It will also employ experts to guide lawmakers in creating effective future regulation of the AI industry. 

    Arguments in Favor

    Filling Gaps in Knowledge

    A key reason Data & Society, an NYC-based independent research institute, endorsed the bill was to fill existing gaps in research. They highlight the limited understanding of both the depth and scale of the impacts of AI on the environment as key areas that require more research. They also highlight the role of this proposed research initiative in determining how to limit the environmental impacts of AI. Tamara Kneese, a researcher for the organization, highlights that there is a lack of research that seeks to understand “the full spectrum of AI’s impacts,” which this bill would directly address. 

    Increasing Transparency in the Industry

    One of the arguments made by a co-sponsor of the legislation in the House of Representatives, Representative Beyer (D-VA), highlights how this bill would put the United States ahead in AI transparency work. Currently, the industry is not forthright about its environmental impact. For example, OpenAI has released no information about the process to create and train ChatGPT’s newest model, which makes it impossible to estimate its environmental impact. The voluntary reporting system created encourages that information to be reported, allowing for tracking of emissions and increased transparency in the industry. 

    Reducing Environmental Harm

    Another supporter of the bill, Greenpeace, views the bill as a way to protect against the environmental harm of new technology and address issues of environmental injustice. Erik Kojola, Greenpeace USA’s senior research specialist, says that this bill is “a first step in holding companies accountable and shedding light on a new technology and opaque industry”. Others, such as the Piedmont Environmental Council, view it as a step towards the implementation of well-informed regulation of AI. The bill’s fourth provision outlines that recommendations be made to Congress for the implementation of regulations of the industry, based on expert opinion and the research that the bill commissions. 

    Arguments Against

    Lacks Enforcement Mechanisms, Delayed Approach

    Critics argue that the bill relies too heavily on industry compliance by primarily using voluntary emissions reporting. In essence, there is no way of forcing companies to actually report their emissions from the working of the bill. There is also the argument that calling for more research only serves to delay taking concrete action to address climate change. The bill itself does little to stop pollution and usage of freshwater resources, and instead delays any action or regulation until detailed research can be conducted and further recommendations can be made. 

    Ignores AI’s Potential to Help the Environment

    Other critics argue that AI is constantly becoming more efficient and government intervention may hinder that. According to the World Economic Forum, AI is able to both optimize its own energy consumption as well as contribute to facilitating energy transitions. Opponents of S.B. 3732 hold that research should focus on improving efficiency within the industry as opposed to tracking its output to inform regulations. 

    Top-down Approach Sidelines Industry Leaders and Efforts

    Some opponents also critique the bill’s research- and information gathering-heavy approach. Critics argue that S.B. 3732 does little to create accountability within the industry and does not integrate existing measures to increase efficiency. They point to examples that show AI itself is being used to create informed climate change policy through analyzing climate impacts on poor communities and generating solutions. Critics argue that the bill largely ignores these efforts and input from industry leaders who say federal funds should be spent optimizing AI rather than regulating it. 

    Updates and Future Outlook

    While S.B. 3732 and its House companion bill were referred to several subcommittees for review, neither made it to the floor for a vote before the end of the 118th Congress and thus will need to be re-introduced in order to be passed in the future. Should the bill be passed into law, the feasibility of its implementation is uncertain given major funding cuts to key stakeholders such as the EPA under the current administration. Without proper government funding to conduct the research that the bill outlines, the efficacy of this research is likely to be weakened. 

    In addition, President Trump signed an executive order titled “Removing Barriers to American AI Innovation” in January 2025, which calls for departments and agencies to revise or rescind all policies and other actions taken under the Biden administration that are inconsistent with “enhancing America’s leadership in AI.”  In addition to taking an anti-regulation stance on AI, this executive order is the first step in a rapid proliferation of AI data centers that are to be fueled with energy from natural gas and coal. Given this climate, S.B. 3732 and similar bills face an uncertain future in the current Congress.

    Conclusion

    S.B. 3732 responds to the knowledge gap on AI’s environmental impacts by commissioning studies and encouraging reporting of AI-related energy benefits and drawbacks. Supporters of the bill view it as a crucial intervention to fill said information gaps, increase transparency, and address environmental harms through policy recommendations. Some opponents of the bill critique it as a stalling tactic for addressing climate change, while others contend the bill simply looks in the wrong place, focusing on AI industry compliance and existing impacts instead of encouraging innovation in the sector.

  • Failures and Successes of NATO

    Failures and Successes of NATO

    Introduction

    NATO, or the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, is a military and political alliance founded in 1949 and dedicated to ensuring the security and freedom of its members. As the Cold War took shape and the Soviet Union threatened European governments, the founding countries of NATO determined that a transatlantic alliance was necessary to both deter Soviet aggression and promote political integration rather than militarism. In the decades since, NATO has grown in structure and members into the organization it is today. The primary political council of NATO is the North Atlantic Council (NAC), and it is chaired by NATO’s Secretary General. Each member has a seat on this council and all decisions are made by consensus, so that any decision made by NATO reflects the will of all members. If a decision reached under the NAC or a political subcommittee has military implications, the Military Committee is responsible for giving expert advice to the NAC and for organizing and carrying out NATO’s military operations. 

    The United States is the largest financial contributor to NATO and a key member of the alliance. The alliance promotes democratic ideas and peaceful conflict resolution around the world. Countries looking to join must have a functioning democratic government and a commitment to peacefully resolve conflict. With a large network of members and resources, NATO aims to hold its members to a standard of democracy and intervenes to defuse conflicts before they happen. However, there is continuous debate over how to handle NATO member states experiencing democratic backsliding. In addition, conflict is deterred by the collective defense aspect of NATO, where an attack on one member is an attack on all members. Despite its shortcomings and the challenges it faces, it is often considered to be one of the most successful international alliances in history.

    There are currently thirty members of NATO and several countries are aspiring to join. Other countries are engaged in working partnerships with the alliance, while not being members.

    Source: Statista

    A Brief History

    • 1949: As communism spread across Europe, and the Soviet’s influence increased, the United States’ desire for a security treaty with Western Europe outside of the UN’s Security Council (where the USSR held veto power) led to the creation of NATO.
    • 1955: In response to West Germany joining NATO, the Soviet Union and seven other Eastern European countries formed the Warsaw Pact.
    • 1991: The Soviet Union collapsed, leading to the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact. The North Atlantic Cooperation Council was created as a platform for cooperation between old Warsaw Pact members and NATO.
    • 1995: NATO became involved in its first ever crisis response operation, leading the Implementation Force, a peace enforcement force during the Bosnian War.
    • 2001: 9/11 resulted in NATO invoking Article 5 of the Washington Treaty for the first, and only, time. Article 5 states that “an attack against one… shall be considered an attack against them all.” NATO launched several counter-terrorism initiatives and deployed military forces to Afghanistan.
    • 2003: NATO takes control of the International Security Force (ISAF) in Afghanistan, a UN-mandated security force responsible for ensuring the Afghan government’s authority.
    • 2014: NATO suspends most relations with Russia over their illegal annexation of Crimea.

    Successes

    1. The Cold War: During the Cold War, NATO’s efforts were centered around three goals: controlling the Soviet Union, dissuading militant nationalism and communism across Europe, and establishing greater European political unity. The alliance played a major role in maintaining the tense peace of the Cold War and ensuring the war remained ‘cold’. With the end of the war, NATO worked to further maintain peace. They established the North Atlantic Cooperation Council and, in 1997, NATO encouraged bilateral discussion between the United States and Russia through the Founding Act.
    2. Modern Day Protection: Today, NATO continues to provide a level of protection for its members. Since its founding, a NATO member has only been attacked and evoked Article 5 once (the United States after 9/11). Member countries are afforded collective security, just as NATO originally sought to do. Additionally, NATO has created a global network of more than 40 countries and other partners around the globe—ranging from the African Union to the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE). This network provides NATO support in its crisis management operations, ranging from aid operations such as its delivery of relief supplies after the 2005 Kashmir Earthquake to counter-terrorism operations in the Mediterranean and the coast of Somalia.
    3. The Ukraine War: NATO has publicly denounced the Russian invasion of Ukraine and NATO member countries and allies have provided substantial aid to Ukraine. The United States has contributed roughly $54 billion to Ukraine. Other countries have provided humanitarian aid and support for the more than 5 million refugees of the war. The Ukraine war has reaffirmed the importance of NATO, and even spurred Finland and Sweden to increase their efforts to join the alliance. These countries’ membership would strengthen the alliance militarily through increased air and submarine capabilities, allowing for NATO to further dissuade Russian aggression.

    Failures

    1. Funding Issues: In 2006, NATO Defense Ministers agreed to a commitment that 2% of their countries’ GDP would be allocated towards defense spending. However, the majority of NATO members do not meet this goal. Currently, the United States accounts for over two-thirds of the alliance’s defense spending.
    2. Afghanistan: After 9/11, NATO was a considerable presence in Afghanistan, and their forces were crucial in their support of the Afghan government. When President Donald Trump signed an agreement with the Taliban in 2020, both NATO and American troops were withdrawn from Afghanistan. What followed was an immediate fall in the Afghan government at the hands of the Taliban. Despite the two decades NATO spent in Afghanistan, no long term solution was reached, and without their presence, the nation’s former government could not survive.
    3. Right-Wing Nationalism: With the spread of right-wing nationalism across Europe, discontent with international institutions like NATO and the EU grows. If right-wing nationalist movements continue to increase in popularity across Europe, there could be increased calls for countries to leave institutions like NATO. The challenge NATO faces now is how to combat and address their criticism, and how to unify a divided Europe.
    4. Russian Aggression: Despite supposed verbal promises to Russia that it would not expand to the east, NATO has admitted several former Warsaw Pact members since the fall of the Soviet Union. Now, with NATO members bordering Russia and the promise of further expansion, Russia feels increasingly threatened. The possibility of Ukraine joining NATO has been cited as a significant reason for Vladmir Putin’s invasion of the country.

    The Future of NATO

    As the war in Ukraine continues, NATO is more relevant now than it has been in decades. NATO plays a role in distributing military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine, and the alliance will be influential in the outcome of the war. NATO serves as a means of collective defense and security against Russia and the increasing threat to international order that they represent. With debates over how NATO can best assist Ukraine, and how to best avoid conflicts such as this in the future, NATO will have to revisit its current deterrence strategy in the upcoming years. Also at play is the growing role of China on the world stage. NATO must consider that the world does not revolve solely around the Euro-Atlantic region, and address questions about its role outside this region and across the globe. NATO continues to be essential towards not only the security of its members including the United States, but to the world.